I arrived at the trailhead at about 4:30 AM but waited for some time before heading out as I didn't want to be hiking in darkness. I misjudged and ended up somewhere after mile marker 3.5 when the sun finally came up. From trailhead to the summit took me just shy of 2 hours.
Snow began to appear on the trail sometime shortly after the 2.5 mile marker and it appeared that there was about 3-4 inches of fresh powder, however I made it to about halfway up haystack with just normal hiking boots. Crampons were not needed that early in the morning (before other hikers and stomped the snow into slippery ice). Trekking poles are highly recommended.
My thermometer said 28 degrees when I arrived at the base of the haystack, however the sun had not yet really hit the mountain. My attempt on haystack was aborted primarly due to my lightweight gloves soaking through and a rather heartstopping slide on my second attempt up.
The last 15 feet before the base of the haystack (and those two little benches) did have approximately knee or lower thigh deep fresh snow.
On the way up I only encountered one other hiker, it seems that early morning is the time to go if you want to avoid the crowds, however on the way back down I started running into large hiking parties (8+ people) at around mile marker 2. I believe I was the first on the summit this morning (as there were no bootprints to follow after I overtook that one other hiker), and this is the way to enjoy the summit, I think, but you should arrive on the summit before 7 am.
There was little wind to speak of, perhaps 1-3 mph at worst. Weather in general was very good, however clouds obscured the Mt Rainier views.
Comments on this trail in general: until after mile marker 3.5, the trail is covered in forest so much that the views don't really exist, of course since I was in darkness before mile marker 3.5 maybe I missed something good.